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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
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See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
WARRound 23Fri 08-07 · 20:00PEN
NCNathan ClearyPTS10.5TJThomas JenkinsPTS5.5TMTaylan MayPTS2.5BTBrian To'oPTS2.5DEDylan EdwardsPTS2.5PAPaul AlamotiPTS2.5JEJaxen EdgarPTS2.5CMCasey McLeanPTS1.5LMLiam MartinPTS1.5Liam HenryLiam HenryPTS1.5FLFreddy LussickPTS0.5LGLuke GarnerPTS0.5
DWDallin Watene-ZelezniakPTS4.5AKAlofiana Khan-PereiraPTS4.5CHChanel Harris-TavitaPTS3.5APAdam PompeyPTS3.5CNCharnze Nicoll-KlokstadPTS2.5

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

NCNathan Cleary10.5TJThomas Jenkins5.5TMTaylan May2.5BTBrian To'o2.5DEDylan Edwards2.5PAPaul Alamoti2.5JEJaxen Edgar2.5CMCasey McLean1.5
TM
Te Maire Martin
PTS
2.5
LHLeka HalasimaPTS1.5
TTTaine TuaupikiPTS1.5
JFJackson FordPTS1.5
EKEdward KosiPTS1.5
RTRoger Tuivasa-SheckPTS1.5
ALAli LeiatauaPTS1.5
LMLiam Martin1.5
Liam HenryLiam Henry1.5
FLFreddy Lussick0.5
LGLuke Garner0.5
DWDallin Watene-Zelezniak4.5
AKAlofiana Khan-Pereira4.5
CHChanel Harris-Tavita3.5
APAdam Pompey3.5
CNCharnze Nicoll-Klokstad2.5
TMTe Maire Martin2.5
LHLeka Halasima1.5
TTTaine Tuaupiki1.5
JFJackson Ford1.5
EKEdward Kosi1.5
RTRoger Tuivasa-Sheck1.5
ALAli Leiataua1.5
TriesTry AssistsTackle BreaksLine BreaksRun MetresTacklesOffloadsRunsPointsGoalsLine Break AssistsPost Contact MetresFantasy Points
Current to Round 22, today
FL
Freddy Lussick
Penrith Panthers · @ WAR
0.5 PTSO —U —
Hit rate
16% (3/19)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.8
L5
0.0
L10
0.8
High
8
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o0.5
0BRIMar 060CROMar 140SYDMar 200PARMar 284MELApr 030CBYApr 090DOLApr 17☂4NEWApr 260MANMay 030CBRMay 100SGIMay 170WARMay 318WSTJun 070GLDJun 200NQLJun 270SOUJul 030BRIJul 16☂0PARJul 230CBRAug 01?WARAug 070.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 10.2°C☂ 0mm (10%)🌬 11.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Freddyvs all playersStatWAR concedePer game
27.7
14
Run Metresunfavorable
13
1549.2
Freddy 27.7/game
WAR concedes 1549.2/game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
25
Tackle Breaksneutral
75
34.3
Freddy 0.6/game
WAR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
27.3
79
Tacklesfavorable
94
363.1
Freddy 27.3/game
WAR concedes 363.1/game · league avg 345.0
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
63
Triesunfavorable
6
2.9
Freddy 0.2/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
40
Try Assistsunfavorable
6
2.5
Freddy 0.1/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
54
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.6
Freddy 0.2/game
WAR concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
38
Offloadsneutral
75
10.4
Freddy 0.2/game
WAR concedes 10.4/game · league avg 9.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
10.7
21
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
13
496.6
Freddy 10.7/game
WAR concedes 496.6/game · league avg 545.5
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Freddy27.7
14
WAR1549.2
13
Freddy 27.7/game
WAR concedes 1549.2/game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Freddy0.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WAR concede · Points

16.4per game · league avg 23.7
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Points

At Go Media Stadium0.2(21)-0.2
Everywhere else0.4(54)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Points

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(8)-0.4
Dry games0.4(67)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs WAR · Points

Avg diff
-0.7
Avg diff %
-100%
Hit rate
0/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01GLDAJ Brimson0.70-100%
08-01GLDOliver Pascoe1.10-100%
08-01GLDDean Ieremia1.00-100%
08-01GLDJojo Fifita1.60-100%
08-01GLDZane Harrison0.10-100%
08-01GLDMoeaki Fotuaika0.20-100%
08-01GLDKeano Kini0.60-100%
08-01GLDTino Fa'asuamaleaui0.30-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Freddy's. Computed from this app's own records.
25
WAR34.3
75
Freddy 0.6/game
WAR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesfavorable
Freddy27.3
79
WAR363.1
94
Freddy 27.3/game
WAR concedes 363.1/game · league avg 345.0
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesunfavorable
Freddy0.2
63
WAR2.9
6
Freddy 0.2/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsunfavorable
Freddy0.1
40
WAR2.5
6
Freddy 0.1/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksneutral
Freddy0.2
54
WAR4.6
38
Freddy 0.2/game
WAR concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsneutral
Freddy0.2
38
WAR10.4
75
Freddy 0.2/game
WAR concedes 10.4/game · league avg 9.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
Freddy10.7
21
WAR496.6
13
Freddy 10.7/game
WAR concedes 496.6/game · league avg 545.5
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded