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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
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See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
WARRound 23Fri 08-07 · 20:00PEN
IPIsaiah Papali'iOFL1.5PAPaul AlamotiOFL1.5NCNathan ClearyOFL1.5IYIsaah YeoOFL1.5LMLiam MartinOFL1.5TMTaylan MayOFL1.5TJThomas JenkinsOFL0.5MLMoses LeotaOFL0.5LPLuron PateaOFL0.5LSLindsay SmithOFL0.5CMCasey McLeanOFL0.5ITIzack TagoOFL0.5
ECErin ClarkOFL1.5TMTe Maire MartinOFL1.5RPRiley PriceOFL1.5DWDallin Watene-ZelezniakOFL0.5CNCharnze Nicoll-KlokstadOFL0.5JF

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

IPIsaiah Papali'i1.5PAPaul Alamoti1.5NCNathan Cleary1.5IYIsaah Yeo1.5LMLiam Martin1.5TMTaylan May1.5TJThomas Jenkins0.5MLMoses Leota0.5
Jackson Ford
OFL
0.5
MBMitchell BarnettOFL0.5
KCKurt CapewellOFL0.5
JFJames Fisher-HarrisOFL0.5
WEWayde EganOFL0.5
APAdam PompeyOFL0.5
DVDemitric VaimaugaOFL0.5
LPLuron Patea0.5
LSLindsay Smith0.5
CMCasey McLean0.5
ITIzack Tago0.5
ECErin Clark1.5
TMTe Maire Martin1.5
RPRiley Price1.5
DWDallin Watene-Zelezniak0.5
CNCharnze Nicoll-Klokstad0.5
JFJackson Ford0.5
MBMitchell Barnett0.5
KCKurt Capewell0.5
JFJames Fisher-Harris0.5
WEWayde Egan0.5
APAdam Pompey0.5
DVDemitric Vaimauga0.5
TriesTry AssistsTackle BreaksLine BreaksRun MetresTacklesOffloadsRunsPointsGoalsLine Break AssistsPost Contact MetresFantasy Points
Current to Round 22, today
FL
Freddy Lussick
Penrith Panthers · @ WAR
0.5 OFLO —U —
Hit rate
21% (4/19)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.2
L5
0.2
L10
0.3
High
1
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o0.5
0BRIMar 060CROMar 140SYDMar 200PARMar 280MELApr 030CBYApr 090DOLApr 17☂0NEWApr 261MANMay 030CBRMay 100SGIMay 171WARMay 311WSTJun 070GLDJun 200NQLJun 271SOUJul 030BRIJul 16☂0PARJul 230CBRAug 01?WARAug 070.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 10.2°C☂ 0mm (10%)🌬 11.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Freddyvs all playersStatWAR concedePer game
27.7
14
Run Metresunfavorable
13
1549.2
Freddy 27.7/game
WAR concedes 1549.2/game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
25
Tackle Breaksneutral
75
34.3
Freddy 0.6/game
WAR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
27.3
79
Tacklesfavorable
94
363.1
Freddy 27.3/game
WAR concedes 363.1/game · league avg 345.0
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
63
Triesunfavorable
6
2.9
Freddy 0.2/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
40
Try Assistsunfavorable
6
2.5
Freddy 0.1/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
54
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.6
Freddy 0.2/game
WAR concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
38
Offloadsneutral
75
10.4
Freddy 0.2/game
WAR concedes 10.4/game · league avg 9.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
10.7
21
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
13
496.6
Freddy 10.7/game
WAR concedes 496.6/game · league avg 545.5
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Freddy27.7
14
WAR1549.2
13
Freddy 27.7/game
WAR concedes 1549.2/game · league avg 1691.0
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Freddy0.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WAR concede · Offloads

10.4per game · league avg 9.8
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Offloads

At Go Media Stadium0.1(21)
Everywhere else0.1(54)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Offloads

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(8)-0.1
Dry games0.1(67)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs WAR · Offloads

Avg diff
-0.2
Avg diff %
-39%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01GLDPhillip Sami0.60-100%
08-01GLDMoeaki Fotuaika0.30-100%
08-01GLDJojo Fifita0.70-100%
08-01GLDAJ Brimson0.41+143%
08-01GLDJayden Campbell0.80-100%
08-01GLDZane Harrison0.10-100%
08-01GLDDean Ieremia0.000%
08-01GLDOliver Pascoe0.71+45%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Freddy's. Computed from this app's own records.
25
WAR34.3
75
Freddy 0.6/game
WAR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesfavorable
Freddy27.3
79
WAR363.1
94
Freddy 27.3/game
WAR concedes 363.1/game · league avg 345.0
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesunfavorable
Freddy0.2
63
WAR2.9
6
Freddy 0.2/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsunfavorable
Freddy0.1
40
WAR2.5
6
Freddy 0.1/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksneutral
Freddy0.2
54
WAR4.6
38
Freddy 0.2/game
WAR concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsneutral
Freddy0.2
38
WAR10.4
75
Freddy 0.2/game
WAR concedes 10.4/game · league avg 9.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
Freddy10.7
21
WAR496.6
13
Freddy 10.7/game
WAR concedes 496.6/game · league avg 545.5
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded