Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Roan Steele

Collingwood · vs GEE

5.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

60% (9/15)

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Avg

5.9

5.0

L10

6.3

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs GEE

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9.1°C☂ 0.3mm (4%)🌬 5.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Roanvs all playersStatGEE concedePer game

13.8Disposals377.4

7.9Kicks213.3

2.9Marks82.7

1.5Tackles64.5

1.0Clearances38.8

2.3Inside 50s51.0

4.1Contested Poss.133.8

0.7Goals12.2

Disposals

Roan13.8

GEE377.4

Kicks

Roan7.9

GEE213.3

Marks

Roan2.9

GEE82.7

Tackles

Roan1.5

GEE64.5

Clearances

Roan1.0

GEE38.8

Inside 50s

Roan2.3

GEE51.0

Contested Poss.

Roan4.1

GEE133.8

Goals

Roan0.7

GEE12.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GEE concede · Handballs

164.1per game · league avg 155.5

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.5.5(13)+1.1

Everywhere else4.4(7)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)7.0(1)+1.9

Dry games5.1(19)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.