Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Tim Membrey

Collingwood · vs GEE

4.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

43% (6/14)

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Avg

4.3

4.0

L10

4.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs GEE

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9.1°C☂ 0.3mm (4%)🌬 5.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Timvs all playersStatGEE concedePer game

11.1Disposals377.4

6.8Kicks213.3

5.3Marks82.7

0.9Tackles64.5

0.1Clearances38.8

1.7Inside 50s51.0

3.4Contested Poss.133.8

1.8Goals12.2

Disposals

Tim11.1

GEE377.4

Kicks

Tim6.8

GEE213.3

Marks

Tim5.3

GEE82.7

Tackles

Tim0.9

GEE64.5

Clearances

Tim0.1

GEE38.8

Inside 50s

Tim1.7

GEE51.0

Contested Poss.

Tim3.4

GEE133.8

Goals

Tim1.8

GEE12.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GEE concede · Handballs

164.1per game · league avg 155.5

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.4.0(22)-0.1

Everywhere else4.1(15)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)4.2(5)+0.2

Dry games4.0(32)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.