Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Nick Haynes

Carlton · vs BRI

6.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

64% (9/14)

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Avg

6.7

7.0

L10

6.5

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs BRI

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Nickvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

17.3Disposals356.9

12.1Kicks198.7

6.7Marks79.9

1.4Tackles54.9

0.2Clearances32.9

1.1Inside 50s53.7

3.7Contested Poss.126.1

0.0Goals13.2

Disposals

Nick17.3

BRI356.9

Kicks

Nick12.1

BRI198.7

Marks

Nick6.7

BRI79.9

Tackles

Nick1.4

BRI54.9

Clearances

Nick0.2

BRI32.9

Inside 50s

Nick1.1

BRI53.7

Contested Poss.

Nick3.7

BRI126.1

Goals

Nick0.0

BRI13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Marks

79.9per game · league avg 93.0

#18 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Marks

At Docklands7.1(9)-0.4

Everywhere else7.5(28)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)4.5(4)-3.3

Dry games7.8(33)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.