Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Francis Evans

Carlton · vs BRI

5.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

50% (8/16)

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Avg

5.5

5.6

L10

6.0

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs BRI

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Francisvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

13.6Disposals356.9

8.1Kicks198.7

2.7Marks79.9

3.5Tackles54.9

0.6Clearances32.9

2.6Inside 50s53.7

5.3Contested Poss.126.1

0.7Goals13.2

Disposals

Francis13.6

BRI356.9

Kicks

Francis8.1

BRI198.7

Marks

Francis2.7

BRI79.9

Tackles

Francis3.5

BRI54.9

Clearances

Francis0.6

BRI32.9

Inside 50s

Francis2.6

BRI53.7

Contested Poss.

Francis5.3

BRI126.1

Goals

Francis0.7

BRI13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Handballs

158.2per game · league avg 155.5

#8 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands5.9(7)+1.2

Everywhere else4.7(19)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)4.5(2)-0.5

Dry games5.0(24)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.