P
Current to Round 20, yesterday
Alex Neal-Bullen
Alex Neal-Bullen
Adelaide · @ ESS
4.5 MKO U
Hit rate
35% (6/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.1
L5
3.4
L10
4.0
High
9
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
7COLMar 143WBDMar 203GEEMar 262FREApr 032CARApr 096STKApr 186PORMay 019RICMay 104NORMay 163HAWMay 213GEEJun 044WBDJun 115MELJun 200PORJun 272WCEJul 034GCSJul 116SYDJul 17?ESSAug 024.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Alex16.6
ESS398.8
Kicks
Alex9.9
ESS232.6
Marks
Alex4.1
ESS116.9
Tackles
Alex3.8
ESS50.5
Clearances
Alex1.0
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Alex2.9
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Alex5.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Alex0.7
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks

116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Docklands2.3(3)-1.2
Everywhere else3.6(39)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)2.6(5)-1.0
Dry games3.6(37)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.