P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Alex Neal-Bullen
Alex Neal-Bullen
Adelaide · @ ESS
0.5 GAO —U —
Hit rate
47% (8/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.5
L5
0.4
L10
0.5
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1COLMar 140WBDMar 200GEEMar 261FREApr 031CARApr 091STKApr 180PORMay 011RICMay 100NORMay 16☂0HAWMay 212GEEJun 040WBDJun 111MELJun 200PORJun 271WCEJul 030GCSJul 110SYDJul 17?ESSAug 020.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Alex16.6
ESS398.8
Kicks
Alex9.9
ESS232.6
Marks
Alex4.1
ESS116.9
Tackles
Alex3.8
ESS50.5
Clearances
Alex1.0
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Alex2.9
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Alex5.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Alex0.7
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Goal Assists

11.6per game · league avg 9.3
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At Docklands0.0(3)-0.7
Everywhere else0.7(39)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.8(5)+0.2
Dry games0.6(37)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.