Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Cam Rayner

Brisbane Lions · @ CAR

4.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

33% (6/18)

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Avg

4.1

5.0

L10

3.7

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ CAR

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Camvs all playersStatCAR concedePer game

15.3Disposals363.6

8.9Kicks210.2

4.1Marks89.8

2.6Tackles59.8

2.4Clearances35.7

3.7Inside 50s52.9

7.0Contested Poss.127.7

1.1Goals12.8

Disposals

Cam15.3

CAR363.6

Kicks

Cam8.9

CAR210.2

Marks

Cam4.1

CAR89.8

Tackles

Cam2.6

CAR59.8

Clearances

Cam2.4

CAR35.7

Inside 50s

Cam3.7

CAR52.9

Contested Poss.

Cam7.0

CAR127.7

Goals

Cam1.1

CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Marks

89.8per game · league avg 93.0

#11 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Marks

At Docklands3.8(16)+0.4

Everywhere else3.3(147)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.8(6)-1.6

Dry games3.4(157)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.