Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Isaac Cumming

Adelaide · @ ESS

2.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

45% (5/11)

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Avg

2.8

2.0

L10

2.9

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Isaacvs all playersStatESS concedePer game

14.5Disposals398.8

9.1Kicks232.6

4.1Marks116.9

2.8Tackles50.5

1.0Clearances33.3

2.3Inside 50s55.1

4.5Contested Poss.121.4

0.5Goals15.0

Disposals

Isaac14.5

ESS398.8

Kicks

Isaac9.1

ESS232.6

Marks

Isaac4.1

ESS116.9

Tackles

Isaac2.8

ESS50.5

Clearances

Isaac1.0

ESS33.3

Inside 50s

Isaac2.3

ESS55.1

Contested Poss.

Isaac4.5

ESS121.4

Goals

Isaac0.5

ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Tackles

50.5per game · league avg 56.9

#16 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands2.0(2)-0.3

Everywhere else2.3(33)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)2.8(4)+0.6

Dry games2.2(31)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.