P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Isaac Cumming
Isaac Cumming
Adelaide · @ ESS
5.5 HBO U
Hit rate
45% (5/11)
enter odds to compare
Avg
5.4
L5
5.4
L10
5.4
High
10
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
5COLMar 143WBDMar 203GEEMar 2610CARApr 094STKApr 187BRIApr 268PORMay 013RICMay 108NORMay 166PORJun 272SYDJul 17?ESSAug 025.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Isaac14.5
ESS398.8
Kicks
Isaac9.1
ESS232.6
Marks
Isaac4.1
ESS116.9
Tackles
Isaac2.8
ESS50.5
Clearances
Isaac1.0
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Isaac2.3
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Isaac4.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Isaac0.5
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Handballs

166.2per game · league avg 155.5
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands5.0(2)+0.2
Everywhere else4.8(33)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)4.8(4)-0.1
Dry games4.8(31)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.