Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Bailey Williams

Western Bulldogs · @ FRE

2.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

33% (4/12)

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Avg

2.1

0.8

L10

1.7

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ FRE

Game conditionsPerth Stadium · PerthRound 21 · 2026-07-31 20:10☁ 15.2°C☂ 0.6mm (45%)🌬 5.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Baileyvs all playersStatFRE concedePer game

19.8Disposals340.9

11.9Kicks201.7

6.3Marks86.9

2.1Tackles56.4

0.9Clearances33.1

2.4Inside 50s48.9

4.8Contested Poss.124.7

0.5Goals9.9

Disposals

Bailey19.8

FRE340.9

Kicks

Bailey11.9

FRE201.7

Marks

Bailey6.3

FRE86.9

Tackles

Bailey2.1

FRE56.4

Clearances

Bailey0.9

FRE33.1

Inside 50s

Bailey2.4

FRE48.9

Contested Poss.

Bailey4.8

FRE124.7

Goals

Bailey0.5

FRE9.9

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

FRE concede · Tackles

56.4per game · league avg 56.9

#10 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackles

At Perth Stadium1.6(9)-0.5

Everywhere else2.1(145)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)2.2(11)+0.1

Dry games2.0(143)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.