PProject Punt
AFLNRLNBLHorsesDogs
⌕/
Sign inSign up
© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
All
See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
WBDRound 22Thu 08-06 · 19:30NOR
Bailey DaleBailey DaleKI20.5Ed RichardsEd RichardsKI17.5Marcus BontempelliMarcus BontempelliKI13.5Matthew KennedyMatthew KennedyKI12.5CBConnor BudarickKI12.5Bailey WilliamsBailey WilliamsKI12.5Jedd BusslingerJedd BusslingerKI11.5Tom LiberatoreTom LiberatoreKI10.5Lachie JaquesLachie JaquesKI10.5Joel FreijahJoel FreijahKI10.5Nick CoffieldNick CoffieldKI9.5LBLachlan BrambleKI9.5
Luke ParkerLuke ParkerKI15.5Harry SheezelHarry SheezelKI15.5Caleb DanielCaleb DanielKI15.5Colby McKercherColby McKercherKI13.5Jy SimpkinJy Simpkin

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

Bailey DaleBailey Dale20.5Ed RichardsEd Richards17.5Marcus BontempelliMarcus Bontempelli13.5Matthew KennedyMatthew Kennedy12.5CBConnor Budarick12.5Bailey WilliamsBailey Williams12.5
KI
12.5
Dylan StephensDylan StephensKI12.5
CHCooper HarveyKI11.5
Luke Davies-UniackeLuke Davies-UniackeKI11.5
Tom PowellTom PowellKI10.5
Tom BlamiresTom BlamiresKI10.5
Luke McDonaldLuke McDonaldKI10.5
Cameron ZurhaarCameron ZurhaarKI10.5
Jedd Busslinger
Jedd Busslinger
11.5
Tom LiberatoreTom Liberatore10.5
Lachie JaquesLachie Jaques10.5
Joel FreijahJoel Freijah10.5
Nick CoffieldNick Coffield9.5
LBLachlan Bramble9.5
Luke ParkerLuke Parker15.5
Harry SheezelHarry Sheezel15.5
Caleb DanielCaleb Daniel15.5
Colby McKercherColby McKercher13.5
Jy SimpkinJy Simpkin12.5
Dylan StephensDylan Stephens12.5
CHCooper Harvey11.5
Luke Davies-UniackeLuke Davies-Uniacke11.5
Tom PowellTom Powell10.5
Tom BlamiresTom Blamires10.5
Luke McDonaldLuke McDonald10.5
Cameron ZurhaarCameron Zurhaar10.5
DisposalsKicksMarksHandballsGoalsTacklesHitoutsClearancesGoal AssistsMarks Inside 50
Current to Round 21, today
Bailey Williams
Bailey Williams
Western Bulldogs · vs NOR
12.5 KIO —U —
Hit rate
54% (7/13)
enter odds to compare
Avg
12.2
L5
11.4
L10
12.1
High
19
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o12.5
13BRIMar 077GWSMar 1417ADEMar 2011ESSApr 0513HAWApr 1115GEEApr 1717SYDApr 238FREMay 0112PORMay 086CARMay 165WCEJul 1219GCSJul 1915RICJul 25?NORAug 0612.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-08-06 19:30Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Baileyvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game
20.2
79
Disposalsunfavorable
6
344.1
Bailey 20.2/game
NOR concedes 344.1/game · league avg 369.6
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
12.2
84
Kicksunfavorable
6
199.4
Bailey 12.2/game
NOR concedes 199.4/game · league avg 213.9
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
6.4
93
Marksneutral
53
91.3
Bailey 6.4/game
NOR concedes 91.3/game · league avg 93.5
#9 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.9
41
Tacklesunfavorable
35
54.0
Bailey 1.9/game
NOR concedes 54.0/game · league avg 56.5
#12 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.1
62
Clearancesneutral
41
34.3
Bailey 1.1/game
NOR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 35.7
#11 of 18 clubs most conceded
2.5
67
Inside 50sunfavorable
35
52.6
Bailey 2.5/game
NOR concedes 52.6/game · league avg 52.9
#12 of 18 clubs most conceded
5.0
54
Contested Poss.unfavorable
0
120.3
Bailey 5.0/game
NOR concedes 120.3/game · league avg 128.8
#18 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.5
61
Goalsneutral
71
13.4
Bailey 0.5/game
NOR concedes 13.4/game · league avg 12.8
#6 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsunfavorable
Bailey20.2
79
NOR344.1
6
Bailey 20.2/game
NOR concedes 344.1/game · league avg 369.6
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksunfavorable
Bailey12.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Kicks

199.4per game · league avg 213.9
#17 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Kicks

At Docklands10.1(74)-0.5
Everywhere else10.6(81)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)9.4(11)-1.0
Dry games10.4(144)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs NOR · Kicks

Avg diff
+1.6
Avg diff %
+13%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-26STKHugo Garcia10.66-44%
07-26STKDarcy Wilson11.616+38%
07-26STKMarcus Windhager13.411-18%
07-18MELTom Sparrow12.920+55%
07-18MELEd Langdon11.114+26%
07-18MELKoltyn Tholstrup10.814+29%
07-18MELTrent Rivers11.916+34%
07-18MELMax Gawn10.69-15%
Similar = season average within ±1.8 of Bailey's. Computed from this app's own records.
84
NOR199.4
6
Bailey 12.2/game
NOR concedes 199.4/game · league avg 213.9
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
Marksneutral
Bailey6.4
93
NOR91.3
53
Bailey 6.4/game
NOR concedes 91.3/game · league avg 93.5
#9 of 18 clubs most conceded
Tacklesunfavorable
Bailey1.9
41
NOR54.0
35
Bailey 1.9/game
NOR concedes 54.0/game · league avg 56.5
#12 of 18 clubs most conceded
Clearancesneutral
Bailey1.1
62
NOR34.3
41
Bailey 1.1/game
NOR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 35.7
#11 of 18 clubs most conceded
Inside 50sunfavorable
Bailey2.5
67
NOR52.6
35
Bailey 2.5/game
NOR concedes 52.6/game · league avg 52.9
#12 of 18 clubs most conceded
Contested Poss.unfavorable
Bailey5.0
54
NOR120.3
0
Bailey 5.0/game
NOR concedes 120.3/game · league avg 128.8
#18 of 18 clubs most conceded
Goalsneutral
Bailey0.5
61
NOR13.4
71
Bailey 0.5/game
NOR concedes 13.4/game · league avg 12.8
#6 of 18 clubs most conceded