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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
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See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
WBDRound 22Thu 08-06 · 19:30NOR
Aaron NaughtonAaron NaughtonGL2.5SDSam DarcyGL2.5Marcus BontempelliMarcus BontempelliGL1.5Arthur JonesArthur JonesGL1.5Will LewisWill LewisGL1.5Oskar BakerOskar BakerGL1.5LVLaitham VandermeerGL1.5JCJordan CroftGL0.5Ed RichardsEd RichardsGL0.5RWRhylee WestGL0.5JDJosh DolanGL0.5LMLachlan McNeilGL0.5
Nick LarkeyNick LarkeyGL1.5Paul CurtisPaul CurtisGL1.5Jack DarlingJack DarlingGL1.5Cooper TrembathCooper TrembathGL1.5Zane DuursmaZane Duursma

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

Aaron NaughtonAaron Naughton2.5SDSam Darcy2.5Marcus BontempelliMarcus Bontempelli1.5Arthur JonesArthur Jones1.5Will LewisWill Lewis1.5Oskar BakerOskar Baker1.5LVLaitham Vandermeer
GL
1.5
JKJacob KonstantyGL0.5
MWMatt WhitlockGL0.5
Charlie SpargoCharlie SpargoGL0.5
Zac BanchZac BanchGL0.5
LDLachy DovastonGL0.5
Harry SheezelHarry SheezelGL0.5
Jy SimpkinJy SimpkinGL0.5
1.5
JCJordan Croft0.5
Ed RichardsEd Richards0.5
RWRhylee West0.5
JDJosh Dolan0.5
LMLachlan McNeil0.5
Nick LarkeyNick Larkey1.5
Paul CurtisPaul Curtis1.5
Jack DarlingJack Darling1.5
Cooper TrembathCooper Trembath1.5
Zane DuursmaZane Duursma1.5
JKJacob Konstanty0.5
MWMatt Whitlock0.5
Charlie SpargoCharlie Spargo0.5
Zac BanchZac Banch0.5
LDLachy Dovaston0.5
Harry SheezelHarry Sheezel0.5
Jy SimpkinJy Simpkin0.5
DisposalsKicksMarksHandballsGoalsTacklesHitoutsClearancesGoal AssistsMarks Inside 50
Current to Round 21, today
Bailey Williams
Bailey Williams
Western Bulldogs · vs NOR
0.5 GLO —U —
Hit rate
38% (5/13)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.5
L5
0.2
L10
0.3
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o0.5
1BRIMar 070GWSMar 142ADEMar 201ESSApr 050HAWApr 110GEEApr 171SYDApr 230FREMay 010PORMay 080CARMay 161WCEJul 120GCSJul 190RICJul 25?NORAug 060.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-08-06 19:30Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Baileyvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game
20.2
79
Disposalsunfavorable
6
344.1
Bailey 20.2/game
NOR concedes 344.1/game · league avg 369.6
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
12.2
84
Kicksunfavorable
6
199.4
Bailey 12.2/game
NOR concedes 199.4/game · league avg 213.9
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
6.4
93
Marksneutral
53
91.3
Bailey 6.4/game
NOR concedes 91.3/game · league avg 93.5
#9 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.9
41
Tacklesunfavorable
35
54.0
Bailey 1.9/game
NOR concedes 54.0/game · league avg 56.5
#12 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.1
62
Clearancesneutral
41
34.3
Bailey 1.1/game
NOR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 35.7
#11 of 18 clubs most conceded
2.5
67
Inside 50sunfavorable
35
52.6
Bailey 2.5/game
NOR concedes 52.6/game · league avg 52.9
#12 of 18 clubs most conceded
5.0
54
Contested Poss.unfavorable
0
120.3
Bailey 5.0/game
NOR concedes 120.3/game · league avg 128.8
#18 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.5
61
Goalsneutral
71
13.4
Bailey 0.5/game
NOR concedes 13.4/game · league avg 12.8
#6 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsunfavorable
Bailey20.2
79
NOR344.1
6
Bailey 20.2/game
NOR concedes 344.1/game · league avg 369.6
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksunfavorable
Bailey12.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Goals

13.4per game · league avg 12.8
#6 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goals

At Docklands0.3(74)
Everywhere else0.3(81)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)0.2(11)-0.1
Dry games0.3(144)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs NOR · Goals

Avg diff
+0.1
Avg diff %
+5%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-26STKMitch Owens1.72+20%
07-26STKHugh Boxshall1.010%
07-26STKRyan Byrnes1.010%
07-26STKAnthony Caminiti1.41-29%
07-26STKNasiah Wanganeen-Milera1.64+150%
07-26STKDarcy Wilson1.51-31%
07-18MELHarry Sharp1.41-30%
07-18MELKysaiah Pickett1.71-42%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Bailey's. Computed from this app's own records.
84
NOR199.4
6
Bailey 12.2/game
NOR concedes 199.4/game · league avg 213.9
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
Marksneutral
Bailey6.4
93
NOR91.3
53
Bailey 6.4/game
NOR concedes 91.3/game · league avg 93.5
#9 of 18 clubs most conceded
Tacklesunfavorable
Bailey1.9
41
NOR54.0
35
Bailey 1.9/game
NOR concedes 54.0/game · league avg 56.5
#12 of 18 clubs most conceded
Clearancesneutral
Bailey1.1
62
NOR34.3
41
Bailey 1.1/game
NOR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 35.7
#11 of 18 clubs most conceded
Inside 50sunfavorable
Bailey2.5
67
NOR52.6
35
Bailey 2.5/game
NOR concedes 52.6/game · league avg 52.9
#12 of 18 clubs most conceded
Contested Poss.unfavorable
Bailey5.0
54
NOR120.3
0
Bailey 5.0/game
NOR concedes 120.3/game · league avg 128.8
#18 of 18 clubs most conceded
Goalsneutral
Bailey0.5
61
NOR13.4
71
Bailey 0.5/game
NOR concedes 13.4/game · league avg 12.8
#6 of 18 clubs most conceded