Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Aaron Naughton

Western Bulldogs · @ FRE

3.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

44% (8/18)

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Avg

3.8

3.4

L10

4.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ FRE

Game conditionsPerth Stadium · PerthRound 21 · 2026-07-31 20:10☁ 15.2°C☂ 0.6mm (45%)🌬 5.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Aaronvs all playersStatFRE concedePer game

10.8Disposals340.9

6.9Kicks201.7

4.4Marks86.9

1.4Tackles56.4

0.1Clearances33.1

1.4Inside 50s48.9

4.9Contested Poss.124.7

2.3Goals9.9

Disposals

Aaron10.8

FRE340.9

Kicks

Aaron6.9

FRE201.7

Marks

Aaron4.4

FRE86.9

Tackles

Aaron1.4

FRE56.4

Clearances

Aaron0.1

FRE33.1

Inside 50s

Aaron1.4

FRE48.9

Contested Poss.

Aaron4.9

FRE124.7

Goals

Aaron2.3

FRE9.9

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

FRE concede · Handballs

139.2per game · league avg 155.5

#18 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Handballs

At Perth Stadium4.0(10)+0.4

Everywhere else3.6(156)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)3.5(11)-0.2

Dry games3.7(155)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.