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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
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See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
WBDRound 22Thu 08-06 · 19:30NOR
Bailey DaleBailey DaleDI26.5Marcus BontempelliMarcus BontempelliDI26.5Ed RichardsEd RichardsDI25.5RSRyley SandersDI24.5Matthew KennedyMatthew KennedyDI23.5Tom LiberatoreTom LiberatoreDI23.5Bailey WilliamsBailey WilliamsDI20.5Joel FreijahJoel FreijahDI18.5CBConnor BudarickDI18.5Adam TreloarAdam TreloarDI16.5Jedd BusslingerJedd BusslingerDI16.5LBLachlan BrambleDI15.5
Harry SheezelHarry SheezelDI31.5Luke ParkerLuke ParkerDI25.5Luke Davies-UniackeLuke Davies-UniackeDI24.5Caleb DanielCaleb DanielDI24.5Jy Simpkin

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

Bailey DaleBailey Dale26.5Marcus BontempelliMarcus Bontempelli26.5Ed RichardsEd Richards25.5RSRyley Sanders24.5Matthew KennedyMatthew Kennedy23.5Tom LiberatoreTom Liberatore23.5
Jy Simpkin
DI
21.5
Colby McKercherColby McKercherDI21.5
Dylan StephensDylan StephensDI20.5
FOFinn OSullivanDI20.5
CHCooper HarveyDI19.5
Tristan XerriTristan XerriDI17.5
Tom BlamiresTom BlamiresDI17.5
George WardlawGeorge WardlawDI16.5
Bailey Williams
Bailey Williams
20.5
Joel FreijahJoel Freijah18.5
CBConnor Budarick18.5
Adam TreloarAdam Treloar16.5
Jedd BusslingerJedd Busslinger16.5
LBLachlan Bramble15.5
Harry SheezelHarry Sheezel31.5
Luke ParkerLuke Parker25.5
Luke Davies-UniackeLuke Davies-Uniacke24.5
Caleb DanielCaleb Daniel24.5
Jy SimpkinJy Simpkin21.5
Colby McKercherColby McKercher21.5
Dylan StephensDylan Stephens20.5
FOFinn OSullivan20.5
CHCooper Harvey19.5
Tristan XerriTristan Xerri17.5
Tom BlamiresTom Blamires17.5
George WardlawGeorge Wardlaw16.5
DisposalsKicksMarksHandballsGoalsTacklesHitoutsClearancesGoal AssistsMarks Inside 50
Current to Round 21, yesterday
Aaron Naughton
Aaron Naughton
Western Bulldogs · vs NOR
10.5 DIO —U —
Hit rate
42% (8/19)
enter odds to compare
Avg
10.8
L5
10.6
L10
11.8
High
18
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o10.5
10BRIMar 0715GWSMar 148ADEMar 2010ESSApr 057HAWApr 1110GEEApr 177SYDApr 239FREMay 0111PORMay 0812CARMay 1618MELMay 2414COLMay 3010HAWJun 0511ADEJun 118STKJun 2110SYDJul 0314WCEJul 1210GCSJul 1911RICJul 25?NORAug 0610.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-08-06 19:30Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Aaronvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game
10.8
21
Disposalsunfavorable
6
344.1
Aaron 10.8/game
NOR concedes 344.1/game · league avg 369.6
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
6.9
31
Kicksunfavorable
6
199.4
Aaron 6.9/game
NOR concedes 199.4/game · league avg 213.9
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
4.5
65
Marksneutral
53
91.3
Aaron 4.5/game
NOR concedes 91.3/game · league avg 93.5
#9 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.4
20
Tacklesunfavorable
35
54.0
Aaron 1.4/game
NOR concedes 54.0/game · league avg 56.5
#12 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.1
8
Clearancesunfavorable
41
34.3
Aaron 0.1/game
NOR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 35.7
#11 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.4
27
Inside 50sunfavorable
35
52.6
Aaron 1.4/game
NOR concedes 52.6/game · league avg 52.9
#12 of 18 clubs most conceded
5.1
56
Contested Poss.unfavorable
0
120.3
Aaron 5.1/game
NOR concedes 120.3/game · league avg 128.8
#18 of 18 clubs most conceded
2.2
99
Goalsfavorable
71
13.4
Aaron 2.2/game
NOR concedes 13.4/game · league avg 12.8
#6 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsunfavorable
Aaron10.8
21
NOR344.1
6
Aaron 10.8/game
NOR concedes 344.1/game · league avg 369.6
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksunfavorable
Aaron6.9

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Disposals

344.1per game · league avg 369.6
#17 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Disposals

At Docklands11.3(78)+0.5
Everywhere else10.8(89)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)10.2(11)-0.9
Dry games11.1(156)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs NOR · Disposals

Avg diff
+0.3
Avg diff %
+3%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-26STKLiam Stocker12.118+49%
07-26STKTobie Travaglia12.311-10%
07-26STKHugh Boxshall12.317+38%
07-26STKJack Higgins10.19-11%
07-26STKLiam OConnell10.87-35%
07-18MELJacob van Rooyen11.88-32%
07-10COLDaniel McStay9.412+28%
07-10COLTim Membrey11.511-5%
Similar = season average within ±1.6 of Aaron's. Computed from this app's own records.
31
NOR199.4
6
Aaron 6.9/game
NOR concedes 199.4/game · league avg 213.9
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
Marksneutral
Aaron4.5
65
NOR91.3
53
Aaron 4.5/game
NOR concedes 91.3/game · league avg 93.5
#9 of 18 clubs most conceded
Tacklesunfavorable
Aaron1.4
20
NOR54.0
35
Aaron 1.4/game
NOR concedes 54.0/game · league avg 56.5
#12 of 18 clubs most conceded
Clearancesunfavorable
Aaron0.1
8
NOR34.3
41
Aaron 0.1/game
NOR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 35.7
#11 of 18 clubs most conceded
Inside 50sunfavorable
Aaron1.4
27
NOR52.6
35
Aaron 1.4/game
NOR concedes 52.6/game · league avg 52.9
#12 of 18 clubs most conceded
Contested Poss.unfavorable
Aaron5.1
56
NOR120.3
0
Aaron 5.1/game
NOR concedes 120.3/game · league avg 128.8
#18 of 18 clubs most conceded
Goalsfavorable
Aaron2.2
99
NOR13.4
71
Aaron 2.2/game
NOR concedes 13.4/game · league avg 12.8
#6 of 18 clubs most conceded