Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

WBD

Rory Lobb

Western Bulldogs · @ FRE

3.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

47% (7/15)

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Avg

3.3

4.6

L10

4.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ FRE

Game conditionsPerth Stadium · PerthRound 21 · 2026-07-31 20:10☁ 15.2°C☂ 0.6mm (45%)🌬 5.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Roryvs all playersStatFRE concedePer game

10.9Disposals340.9

7.5Kicks201.7

4.1Marks86.9

2.9Tackles56.4

1.2Clearances33.1

1.0Inside 50s48.9

4.9Contested Poss.124.7

0.3Goals9.9

Disposals

Rory10.9

FRE340.9

Kicks

Rory7.5

FRE201.7

Marks

Rory4.1

FRE86.9

Tackles

Rory2.9

FRE56.4

Clearances

Rory1.2

FRE33.1

Inside 50s

Rory1.0

FRE48.9

Contested Poss.

Rory4.9

FRE124.7

Goals

Rory0.3

FRE9.9

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

FRE concede · Handballs

139.2per game · league avg 155.5

#18 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Handballs

At Perth Stadium2.7(3)-1.7

Everywhere else4.4(71)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)4.3(4)-0.1

Dry games4.3(70)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.