Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Logan Morris

Brisbane Lions · @ CAR

2.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

47% (8/17)

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Avg

2.7

3.2

L10

2.6

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ CAR

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Loganvs all playersStatCAR concedePer game

11.9Disposals363.6

9.2Kicks210.2

4.9Marks89.8

1.5Tackles59.8

0.1Clearances35.7

2.1Inside 50s52.9

4.6Contested Poss.127.7

2.6Goals12.8

Disposals

Logan11.9

CAR363.6

Kicks

Logan9.2

CAR210.2

Marks

Logan4.9

CAR89.8

Tackles

Logan1.5

CAR59.8

Clearances

Logan0.1

CAR35.7

Inside 50s

Logan2.1

CAR52.9

Contested Poss.

Logan4.6

CAR127.7

Goals

Logan2.6

CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Handballs

153.4per game · league avg 155.5

#12 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands2.3(7)-0.3

Everywhere else2.6(55)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)4.0(1)+1.5

Dry games2.5(61)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.