Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

BRI

Conor McKenna

Brisbane Lions · @ CAR

12.5 DIO —U —

Hit rate

25% (3/12)

enter odds to compare

Avg

12.3

14.0

L10

12.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ CAR

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Conorvs all playersStatCAR concedePer game

12.3Disposals363.6

9.5Kicks210.2

2.3Marks89.8

1.8Tackles59.8

0.3Clearances35.7

4.2Inside 50s52.9

3.3Contested Poss.127.7

1.4Goals12.8

Disposals

Conor12.3

CAR363.6

Kicks

Conor9.5

CAR210.2

Marks

Conor2.3

CAR89.8

Tackles

Conor1.8

CAR59.8

Clearances

Conor0.3

CAR35.7

Inside 50s

Conor4.2

CAR52.9

Contested Poss.

Conor3.3

CAR127.7

Goals

Conor1.4

CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Disposals

363.6per game · league avg 369.3

#11 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Disposals

At Docklands17.7(7)+4.4

Everywhere else13.4(54)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)14.0(2)+0.2

Dry games13.8(59)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.