Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Bailey Williams

West Coast · @ RIC

2.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

29% (4/14)

enter odds to compare

Avg

2.1

1.6

L10

2.2

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ RIC

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 15.6°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 19.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Baileyvs all playersStatRIC concedePer game

13.2Disposals391.8

7.6Kicks224.9

2.1Marks107.6

3.1Tackles53.8

5.4Clearances33.7

2.9Inside 50s56.5

10.2Contested Poss.129.3

0.6Goals15.3

Disposals

Bailey13.2

RIC391.8

Kicks

Bailey7.6

RIC224.9

Marks

Bailey2.1

RIC107.6

Tackles

Bailey3.1

RIC53.8

Clearances

Bailey5.4

RIC33.7

Inside 50s

Bailey2.9

RIC56.5

Contested Poss.

Bailey10.2

RIC129.3

Goals

Bailey0.6

RIC15.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

RIC concede · Marks

107.6per game · league avg 93.0

#2 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.2.3(7)+0.4

Everywhere else1.9(95)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.3(6)-0.6

Dry games2.0(96)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.