Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Bailey Williams

West Coast · @ RIC

13.5 DIO —U —

Hit rate

50% (7/14)

enter odds to compare

Avg

13.2

12.2

L10

13.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ RIC

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 15.6°C☂ 0mm (4%)🌬 19.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Baileyvs all playersStatRIC concedePer game

13.2Disposals391.8

7.6Kicks224.9

2.1Marks107.6

3.1Tackles53.8

5.4Clearances33.7

2.9Inside 50s56.5

10.2Contested Poss.129.3

0.6Goals15.3

Disposals

Bailey13.2

RIC391.8

Kicks

Bailey7.6

RIC224.9

Marks

Bailey2.1

RIC107.6

Tackles

Bailey3.1

RIC53.8

Clearances

Bailey5.4

RIC33.7

Inside 50s

Bailey2.9

RIC56.5

Contested Poss.

Bailey10.2

RIC129.3

Goals

Bailey0.6

RIC15.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

RIC concede · Disposals

391.8per game · league avg 369.3

#2 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At M.C.G.11.7(7)+1.1

Everywhere else10.6(95)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)7.8(6)-3.1

Dry games10.9(96)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.