Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Jake Waterman

West Coast · @ RIC

1.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

50% (9/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

1.4

1.8

L10

1.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ RIC

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 15.6°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 19.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jakevs all playersStatRIC concedePer game

12.5Disposals391.8

10.1Kicks224.9

6.5Marks107.6

1.4Tackles53.8

0.1Clearances33.7

2.2Inside 50s56.5

3.8Contested Poss.129.3

2.2Goals15.3

Disposals

Jake12.5

RIC391.8

Kicks

Jake10.1

RIC224.9

Marks

Jake6.5

RIC107.6

Tackles

Jake1.4

RIC53.8

Clearances

Jake0.1

RIC33.7

Inside 50s

Jake2.2

RIC56.5

Contested Poss.

Jake3.8

RIC129.3

Goals

Jake2.2

RIC15.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

RIC concede · Tackles

53.8per game · league avg 56.9

#14 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At M.C.G.1.4(10)

Everywhere else1.4(103)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)2.4(8)+1.1

Dry games1.3(105)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.