Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Jake Waterman

West Coast · @ RIC

0.5 GAO —U —

Hit rate

56% (10/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

0.6

0.8

L10

0.8

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ RIC

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 15.6°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 19.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jakevs all playersStatRIC concedePer game

12.5Disposals391.8

10.1Kicks224.9

6.5Marks107.6

1.4Tackles53.8

0.1Clearances33.7

2.2Inside 50s56.5

3.8Contested Poss.129.3

2.2Goals15.3

Disposals

Jake12.5

RIC391.8

Kicks

Jake10.1

RIC224.9

Marks

Jake6.5

RIC107.6

Tackles

Jake1.4

RIC53.8

Clearances

Jake0.1

RIC33.7

Inside 50s

Jake2.2

RIC56.5

Contested Poss.

Jake3.8

RIC129.3

Goals

Jake2.2

RIC15.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

RIC concede · Goal Assists

11.6per game · league avg 9.3

#1 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At M.C.G.0.6(10)+0.2

Everywhere else0.4(103)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.6(8)+0.2

Dry games0.4(105)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.