Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Hugh McCluggage

Brisbane Lions · @ CAR

7.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

73% (8/11)

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Avg

7.7

8.8

L10

8.3

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ CAR

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Hughvs all playersStatCAR concedePer game

16.7Disposals363.6

9.0Kicks210.2

3.6Marks89.8

3.1Tackles59.8

3.6Clearances35.7

3.1Inside 50s52.9

7.6Contested Poss.127.7

0.5Goals12.8

Disposals

Hugh16.7

CAR363.6

Kicks

Hugh9.0

CAR210.2

Marks

Hugh3.6

CAR89.8

Tackles

Hugh3.1

CAR59.8

Clearances

Hugh3.6

CAR35.7

Inside 50s

Hugh3.1

CAR52.9

Contested Poss.

Hugh7.6

CAR127.7

Goals

Hugh0.5

CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Handballs

153.4per game · league avg 155.5

#12 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands9.5(17)

Everywhere else9.4(163)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)8.1(9)-1.4

Dry games9.5(171)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.