Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Tim Kelly

West Coast · @ RIC

23.5 DIO —U —

Hit rate

50% (8/16)

enter odds to compare

Avg

23.1

22.2

L10

23.7

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ RIC

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 15.6°C☂ 0mm (4%)🌬 19.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Timvs all playersStatRIC concedePer game

23.1Disposals391.8

11.4Kicks224.9

3.6Marks107.6

3.2Tackles53.8

4.7Clearances33.7

4.9Inside 50s56.5

9.5Contested Poss.129.3

0.1Goals15.3

Disposals

Tim23.1

RIC391.8

Kicks

Tim11.4

RIC224.9

Marks

Tim3.6

RIC107.6

Tackles

Tim3.2

RIC53.8

Clearances

Tim4.7

RIC33.7

Inside 50s

Tim4.9

RIC56.5

Contested Poss.

Tim9.5

RIC129.3

Goals

Tim0.1

RIC15.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

RIC concede · Disposals

391.8per game · league avg 369.3

#2 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At M.C.G.23.6(8)+0.6

Everywhere else23.0(124)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)23.2(10)+0.1

Dry games23.1(122)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.