AFL
PProjectPunt
BRI
Lincoln McCarthy
Brisbane Lions · vs POR
9.5 KIO U
Hit rate
38% (3/8)
enter odds to compare
Avg
9.8
L5
10.0
L10
9.8
High
20
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
8SYDMar 1411STKMar 289COLApr 027NORApr 1110MELApr 1920ADEApr 268ESSMay 025CARMay 08?PORJul 269.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs POR
Game conditionsGabba · BrisbaneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 13:1019.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 2.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Lincoln13.0
POR361.6
Kicks
Lincoln9.8
POR207.9
Marks
Lincoln4.8
POR92.1
Tackles
Lincoln1.8
POR59.0
Clearances
Lincoln0.8
POR32.3
Inside 50s
Lincoln2.3
POR49.4
Contested poss.
Lincoln4.5
POR127.2
Goals
Lincoln0.8
POR11.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

POR concede · Kicks

207.9per game · league avg 213.8
#13 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Kicks

At Gabba10.0(7)+0.9
Everywhere else9.1(9)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)13.0(1)+3.7
Dry games9.3(15)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.