P
Current to Round 20, yesterday
BRI
Lincoln McCarthy
Brisbane Lions · @ CAR
0.5 FFO —U —
Hit rate
50% (4/8)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.6
L5
0.6
L10
0.6
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1SYDMar 141STKMar 280COLApr 021NORApr 110MELApr 192ADEApr 260ESSMay 020CARMay 08?CARAug 010.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ CAR
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Lincoln13.0
CAR363.6
Kicks
Lincoln9.8
CAR210.2
Marks
Lincoln4.8
CAR89.8
Tackles
Lincoln1.8
CAR59.8
Clearances
Lincoln0.8
CAR35.7
Inside 50s
Lincoln2.3
CAR52.9
Contested Poss.
Lincoln4.5
CAR127.7
Goals
Lincoln0.8
CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Frees For

20.1per game · league avg 19.0
#6 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands0.5(13)-0.3
Everywhere else0.8(117)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)0.8(8)
Dry games0.8(122)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.