Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Sam Wicks

Sydney · @ STK

3.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

53% (8/15)

enter odds to compare

Avg

3.8

4.8

L10

4.5

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 21 @ STK

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Samvs all playersStatSTK concedePer game

17.4Disposals379.3

9.7Kicks220.4

3.8Marks100.9

2.5Tackles50.0

0.5Clearances34.4

2.3Inside 50s52.1

4.7Contested Poss.123.7

0.1Goals12.4

Disposals

Sam17.4

STK379.3

Kicks

Sam9.7

STK220.4

Marks

Sam3.8

STK100.9

Tackles

Sam2.5

STK50.0

Clearances

Sam0.5

STK34.4

Inside 50s

Sam2.3

STK52.1

Contested Poss.

Sam4.7

STK123.7

Goals

Sam0.1

STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Marks

100.9per game · league avg 93.0

#6 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Docklands2.1(15)-0.5

Everywhere else2.6(86)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(3)+0.5

Dry games2.5(98)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.