Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Sam Wicks

Sydney · @ STK

0.5 GAO —U —

Hit rate

27% (4/15)

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Avg

0.3

0.2

L10

0.4

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ STK

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Samvs all playersStatSTK concedePer game

17.4Disposals379.3

9.7Kicks220.4

3.8Marks100.9

2.5Tackles50.0

0.5Clearances34.4

2.3Inside 50s52.1

4.7Contested Poss.123.7

0.1Goals12.4

Disposals

Sam17.4

STK379.3

Kicks

Sam9.7

STK220.4

Marks

Sam3.8

STK100.9

Tackles

Sam2.5

STK50.0

Clearances

Sam0.5

STK34.4

Inside 50s

Sam2.3

STK52.1

Contested Poss.

Sam4.7

STK123.7

Goals

Sam0.1

STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Goal Assists

9.5per game · league avg 9.3

#7 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At Docklands0.7(15)+0.3

Everywhere else0.4(86)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(3)-0.4

Dry games0.4(98)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.