Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

SYD

Corey Warner

Sydney · @ STK

1.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

40% (2/5)

enter odds to compare

Avg

1.2

L10

1.2

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 21 @ STK

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Coreyvs all playersStatSTK concedePer game

11.0Disposals379.3

6.2Kicks220.4

1.4Marks100.9

1.2Tackles50.0

0.0Clearances34.4

2.6Inside 50s52.1

2.2Contested Poss.123.7

0.4Goals12.4

Disposals

Corey11.0

STK379.3

Kicks

Corey6.2

STK220.4

Marks

Corey1.4

STK100.9

Tackles

Corey1.2

STK50.0

Clearances

Corey0.0

STK34.4

Inside 50s

Corey2.6

STK52.1

Contested Poss.

Corey2.2

STK123.7

Goals

Corey0.4

STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Tackles

50.0per game · league avg 56.9

#17 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands0.7(3)-0.8

Everywhere else1.5(25)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)1.5(2)+0.1

Dry games1.4(26)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.