P
Current to Round 20, yesterday
Chad Warner
Chad Warner
Sydney · @ STK
0.5 FFO U
Hit rate
50% (9/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.9
L5
0.8
L10
0.6
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0CARMar 050BRIMar 144HAWMar 191WCEApr 042GCSApr 110GWSApr 173WBDApr 230MELMay 031NORMay 091COLMay 150GEEMay 230RICMay 300STKJun 071PORJun 131BRIJun 250WBDJul 032FREJul 090ADEJul 17?STKAug 010.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ STK
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Chad22.8
STK379.3
Kicks
Chad13.9
STK220.4
Marks
Chad3.1
STK100.9
Tackles
Chad3.6
STK50.0
Clearances
Chad4.2
STK34.4
Inside 50s
Chad6.6
STK52.1
Contested Poss.
Chad9.2
STK123.7
Goals
Chad1.4
STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Frees For

16.8per game · league avg 19.0
#18 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands1.2(13)+0.4
Everywhere else0.9(113)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.4(7)+0.6
Dry games0.9(119)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.