Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

BRI

Kai Lohmann

Brisbane Lions · @ CAR

3.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

39% (7/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

3.8

4.8

L10

4.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ CAR

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Kaivs all playersStatCAR concedePer game

12.1Disposals363.6

7.7Kicks210.2

3.8Marks89.8

2.9Tackles59.8

1.1Clearances35.7

2.6Inside 50s52.9

5.2Contested Poss.127.7

2.0Goals12.8

Disposals

Kai12.1

CAR363.6

Kicks

Kai7.7

CAR210.2

Marks

Kai3.8

CAR89.8

Tackles

Kai2.9

CAR59.8

Clearances

Kai1.1

CAR35.7

Inside 50s

Kai2.6

CAR52.9

Contested Poss.

Kai5.2

CAR127.7

Goals

Kai2.0

CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Marks

89.8per game · league avg 93.0

#11 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Marks

At Docklands4.1(8)+0.9

Everywhere else3.3(63)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)2.5(2)-0.9

Dry games3.4(69)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.