Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

James Rowbottom

Sydney · @ STK

1.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

39% (7/18)

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Avg

1.3

0.8

L10

1.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ STK

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jamesvs all playersStatSTK concedePer game

15.8Disposals379.3

8.2Kicks220.4

1.6Marks100.9

6.3Tackles50.0

2.9Clearances34.4

2.8Inside 50s52.1

8.1Contested Poss.123.7

0.4Goals12.4

Disposals

James15.8

STK379.3

Kicks

James8.2

STK220.4

Marks

James1.6

STK100.9

Tackles

James6.3

STK50.0

Clearances

James2.9

STK34.4

Inside 50s

James2.8

STK52.1

Contested Poss.

James8.1

STK123.7

Goals

James0.4

STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Frees For

16.8per game · league avg 19.0

#18 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands1.0(18)-0.3

Everywhere else1.3(139)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.1(7)-0.1

Dry games1.2(150)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.