Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Matt Roberts

Sydney · @ STK

1.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

36% (5/14)

enter odds to compare

Avg

1.4

1.0

L10

1.5

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 21 @ STK

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Mattvs all playersStatSTK concedePer game

17.9Disposals379.3

10.4Kicks220.4

4.4Marks100.9

2.1Tackles50.0

1.4Clearances34.4

3.1Inside 50s52.1

5.6Contested Poss.123.7

0.1Goals12.4

Disposals

Matt17.9

STK379.3

Kicks

Matt10.4

STK220.4

Marks

Matt4.4

STK100.9

Tackles

Matt2.1

STK50.0

Clearances

Matt1.4

STK34.4

Inside 50s

Matt3.1

STK52.1

Contested Poss.

Matt5.6

STK123.7

Goals

Matt0.1

STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Frees For

16.8per game · league avg 19.0

#18 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands0.5(8)-0.2

Everywhere else0.7(54)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.5(2)+0.8

Dry games0.7(60)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.