PProject Punt
AFLNRLNBLHorsesDogs
⌕/
Sign inSign up
© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
SYDRound 22Sat 08-08 · 16:15POR
Isaac HeeneyIsaac HeeneyHB14.5Justin McInerneyJustin McInerneyHB13.5Brodie GrundyBrodie GrundyHB12.5Callum MillsCallum MillsHB11.5Angus SheldrickAngus SheldrickHB11.5Braeden CampbellBraeden CampbellHB10.5Errol GuldenErrol GuldenHB9.5Chad WarnerChad WarnerHB9.5Tom McCartinTom McCartinHB9.5RBRiley BiceHB9.5JJJames JordonHB8.5Caiden ClearyCaiden ClearyHB8.5
Will BrodieWill BrodieHB14.5Ollie WinesOllie WinesHB13.5Zak ButtersZak ButtersHB12.5WLWill LorenzHB11.5Connor RozeeConnor RozeeHB

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

Isaac HeeneyIsaac Heeney14.5Justin McInerneyJustin McInerney13.5Brodie GrundyBrodie Grundy12.5Callum MillsCallum Mills11.5Angus SheldrickAngus Sheldrick11.5Braeden CampbellBraeden Campbell10.5
All
See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
10.5
Willem DrewWillem DrewHB8.5
Jase BurgoyneJase BurgoyneHB7.5
CMChristian MoraesHB7.5
Jason Horne-FrancisJason Horne-FrancisHB7.5
Darcy Byrne-JonesDarcy Byrne-JonesHB7.5
Joe RichardsJoe RichardsHB6.5
JSJordon SweetHB6.5
Errol GuldenErrol Gulden9.5
Chad WarnerChad Warner9.5
Tom McCartinTom McCartin9.5
RBRiley Bice9.5
JJJames Jordon8.5
Caiden ClearyCaiden Cleary8.5
Will BrodieWill Brodie14.5
Ollie WinesOllie Wines13.5
Zak ButtersZak Butters12.5
WLWill Lorenz11.5
Connor RozeeConnor Rozee10.5
Willem DrewWillem Drew8.5
Jase BurgoyneJase Burgoyne7.5
CMChristian Moraes7.5
Jason Horne-FrancisJason Horne-Francis7.5
Darcy Byrne-JonesDarcy Byrne-Jones7.5
Joe RichardsJoe Richards6.5
JSJordon Sweet6.5
DisposalsKicksMarksHandballsGoalsTacklesHitoutsClearancesGoal AssistsMarks Inside 50
Current to Round 21, today
Tom Papley
Tom Papley
Sydney · vs POR
5.5 HBO —U —
Hit rate
36% (5/14)
enter odds to compare
Avg
5.2
L5
3.8
L10
5.2
High
13
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o5.5
5CARMar 055BRIMar 144HAWMar 197WCEApr 046GCSApr 113GWSApr 1713WBDApr 235MELMay 036NORMay 095COLMay 151GEEMay 232FREJul 097ADEJul 174GWSJul 25?PORAug 085.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsS.C.G. · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-08 16:15☁ 15.7°C☂ 0.1mm (1%)🌬 13.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Tomvs all playersStatPOR concedePer game
15.5
54
Disposalsneutral
41
364.3
Tom 15.5/game
POR concedes 364.3/game · league avg 369.6
#11 of 18 clubs most conceded
10.3
70
Kicksneutral
41
210.8
Tom 10.3/game
POR concedes 210.8/game · league avg 213.9
#10 of 18 clubs most conceded
3.1
33
Marksneutral
59
94.2
Tom 3.1/game
POR concedes 94.2/game · league avg 93.5
#8 of 18 clubs most conceded
2.5
63
Tacklesneutral
65
58.8
Tom 2.5/game
POR concedes 58.8/game · league avg 56.5
#7 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.4
69
Clearancesunfavorable
0
32.6
Tom 1.4/game
POR concedes 32.6/game · league avg 35.7
#18 of 18 clubs most conceded
5.0
97
Inside 50sunfavorable
6
50.1
Tom 5.0/game
POR concedes 50.1/game · league avg 52.9
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
5.6
67
Contested Poss.neutral
41
126.9
Tom 5.6/game
POR concedes 126.9/game · league avg 128.8
#11 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.6
92
Goalsunfavorable
29
12.1
Tom 1.6/game
POR concedes 12.1/game · league avg 12.8
#13 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsneutral
Tom15.5
54
POR364.3
41
Tom 15.5/game
POR concedes 364.3/game · league avg 369.6
#11 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksneutral
Tom10.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

POR concede · Handballs

153.5per game · league avg 155.7
#13 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Handballs

At S.C.G.4.2(65)+0.1
Everywhere else4.1(85)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)4.2(6)
Dry games4.2(144)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs POR · Handballs

Avg diff
+1.2
Avg diff %
+22%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-26BRIDarcy Wilmot5.33-44%
07-26BRIJames Tunstill5.27+35%
07-26BRIRyan Lester5.050%
07-26BRIDarcy Fort4.66+32%
07-26BRIKai Lohmann4.56+33%
07-26BRICam Rayner6.611+66%
07-26BRIHarris Andrews5.47+29%
07-26BRIDayne Zorko5.67+25%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Tom's. Computed from this app's own records.
70
POR210.8
41
Tom 10.3/game
POR concedes 210.8/game · league avg 213.9
#10 of 18 clubs most conceded
Marksneutral
Tom3.1
33
POR94.2
59
Tom 3.1/game
POR concedes 94.2/game · league avg 93.5
#8 of 18 clubs most conceded
Tacklesneutral
Tom2.5
63
POR58.8
65
Tom 2.5/game
POR concedes 58.8/game · league avg 56.5
#7 of 18 clubs most conceded
Clearancesunfavorable
Tom1.4
69
POR32.6
0
Tom 1.4/game
POR concedes 32.6/game · league avg 35.7
#18 of 18 clubs most conceded
Inside 50sunfavorable
Tom5.0
97
POR50.1
6
Tom 5.0/game
POR concedes 50.1/game · league avg 52.9
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
Contested Poss.neutral
Tom5.6
67
POR126.9
41
Tom 5.6/game
POR concedes 126.9/game · league avg 128.8
#11 of 18 clubs most conceded
Goalsunfavorable
Tom1.6
92
POR12.1
29
Tom 1.6/game
POR concedes 12.1/game · league avg 12.8
#13 of 18 clubs most conceded