P
Current to Round 20, yesterday
Tom Papley
Tom Papley
Sydney · @ STK
0.5 FFO U
Hit rate
54% (7/13)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.9
L5
0.8
L10
1.0
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0CARMar 050BRIMar 142HAWMar 192WCEApr 042GCSApr 110GWSApr 171WBDApr 231MELMay 032NORMay 090COLMay 150GEEMay 230FREJul 092ADEJul 17?STKAug 010.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ STK
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Tom15.4
STK379.3
Kicks
Tom10.1
STK220.4
Marks
Tom3.1
STK100.9
Tackles
Tom2.7
STK50.0
Clearances
Tom1.5
STK34.4
Inside 50s
Tom5.1
STK52.1
Contested Poss.
Tom5.6
STK123.7
Goals
Tom1.5
STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Frees For

16.8per game · league avg 19.0
#18 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands1.4(17)+0.5
Everywhere else0.9(132)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.7(6)+0.8
Dry games0.9(143)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.