P
Current to Round 20, yesterday
Tom Papley
Tom Papley
Sydney · @ STK
15.5 DIO U
Hit rate
46% (6/13)
enter odds to compare
Avg
15.4
L5
13.8
L10
15.9
High
24
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
9CARMar 0518BRIMar 1414HAWMar 1924WCEApr 0417GCSApr 1112GWSApr 1723WBDApr 2314MELMay 0318NORMay 0912COLMay 155GEEMay 2310FREJul 0924ADEJul 17?STKAug 0115.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ STK
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Tom15.4
STK379.3
Kicks
Tom10.1
STK220.4
Marks
Tom3.1
STK100.9
Tackles
Tom2.7
STK50.0
Clearances
Tom1.5
STK34.4
Inside 50s
Tom5.1
STK52.1
Contested Poss.
Tom5.6
STK123.7
Goals
Tom1.5
STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Disposals

379.3per game · league avg 369.3
#6 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At Docklands15.9(17)+1.6
Everywhere else14.3(132)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)15.8(6)+1.4
Dry games14.5(143)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.