Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Ryan Lester

Brisbane Lions · @ CAR

1.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

43% (6/14)

enter odds to compare

Avg

1.6

1.4

L10

1.8

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 21 @ CAR

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Ryanvs all playersStatCAR concedePer game

16.2Disposals363.6

11.2Kicks210.2

7.6Marks89.8

1.6Tackles59.8

0.4Clearances35.7

1.9Inside 50s52.9

4.1Contested Poss.127.7

0.0Goals12.8

Disposals

Ryan16.2

CAR363.6

Kicks

Ryan11.2

CAR210.2

Marks

Ryan7.6

CAR89.8

Tackles

Ryan1.6

CAR59.8

Clearances

Ryan0.4

CAR35.7

Inside 50s

Ryan1.9

CAR52.9

Contested Poss.

Ryan4.1

CAR127.7

Goals

Ryan0.0

CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Tackles

59.8per game · league avg 56.9

#7 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands2.2(13)+0.2

Everywhere else2.0(116)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)1.8(8)-0.3

Dry games2.0(121)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.