Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Errol Gulden

Sydney · @ STK

3.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

33% (2/6)

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Avg

3.3

3.4

L10

3.3

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ STK

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Errolvs all playersStatSTK concedePer game

24.0Disposals379.3

14.8Kicks220.4

3.3Marks100.9

6.5Tackles50.0

2.3Clearances34.4

6.7Inside 50s52.1

7.0Contested Poss.123.7

0.2Goals12.4

Disposals

Errol24.0

STK379.3

Kicks

Errol14.8

STK220.4

Marks

Errol3.3

STK100.9

Tackles

Errol6.5

STK50.0

Clearances

Errol2.3

STK34.4

Inside 50s

Errol6.7

STK52.1

Contested Poss.

Errol7.0

STK123.7

Goals

Errol0.2

STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Marks

100.9per game · league avg 93.0

#6 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Docklands4.9(14)-0.1

Everywhere else5.0(95)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)6.2(5)+1.3

Dry games4.9(104)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.