Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Errol Gulden

Sydney · @ STK

1.5 GAO —U —

Hit rate

17% (1/6)

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Avg

1.0

0.6

L10

1.0

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ STK

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Errolvs all playersStatSTK concedePer game

24.0Disposals379.3

14.8Kicks220.4

3.3Marks100.9

6.5Tackles50.0

2.3Clearances34.4

6.7Inside 50s52.1

7.0Contested Poss.123.7

0.2Goals12.4

Disposals

Errol24.0

STK379.3

Kicks

Errol14.8

STK220.4

Marks

Errol3.3

STK100.9

Tackles

Errol6.5

STK50.0

Clearances

Errol2.3

STK34.4

Inside 50s

Errol6.7

STK52.1

Contested Poss.

Errol7.0

STK123.7

Goals

Errol0.2

STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Goal Assists

9.5per game · league avg 9.3

#7 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At Docklands0.7(14)-0.1

Everywhere else0.8(95)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(5)+0.2

Dry games0.8(104)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.