Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Brodie Grundy

Sydney · @ STK

2.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

29% (5/17)

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Avg

2.1

2.2

L10

2.5

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ STK

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Brodievs all playersStatSTK concedePer game

19.8Disposals379.3

6.9Kicks220.4

2.1Marks100.9

4.0Tackles50.0

6.2Clearances34.4

2.2Inside 50s52.1

13.2Contested Poss.123.7

0.5Goals12.4

Disposals

Brodie19.8

STK379.3

Kicks

Brodie6.9

STK220.4

Marks

Brodie2.1

STK100.9

Tackles

Brodie4.0

STK50.0

Clearances

Brodie6.2

STK34.4

Inside 50s

Brodie2.2

STK52.1

Contested Poss.

Brodie13.2

STK123.7

Goals

Brodie0.5

STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Frees For

16.8per game · league avg 19.0

#18 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands2.4(8)+0.3

Everywhere else2.1(57)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(2)-0.1

Dry games2.1(63)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.