Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

SYD

Nick Blakey

Sydney · @ STK

1.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

56% (10/18)

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Avg

1.4

1.2

L10

1.3

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ STK

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Nickvs all playersStatSTK concedePer game

25.3Disposals379.3

17.2Kicks220.4

3.7Marks100.9

1.4Tackles50.0

1.0Clearances34.4

4.0Inside 50s52.1

4.9Contested Poss.123.7

0.2Goals12.4

Disposals

Nick25.3

STK379.3

Kicks

Nick17.2

STK220.4

Marks

Nick3.7

STK100.9

Tackles

Nick1.4

STK50.0

Clearances

Nick1.0

STK34.4

Inside 50s

Nick4.0

STK52.1

Contested Poss.

Nick4.9

STK123.7

Goals

Nick0.2

STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Tackles

50.0per game · league avg 56.9

#17 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands1.9(20)+0.2

Everywhere else1.7(147)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)1.9(8)+0.2

Dry games1.7(159)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.