Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Joel Amartey

Sydney · @ STK

3.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

33% (5/15)

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Avg

3.2

1.8

L10

2.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ STK

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Joelvs all playersStatSTK concedePer game

8.2Disposals379.3

5.3Kicks220.4

3.2Marks100.9

1.7Tackles50.0

0.3Clearances34.4

1.1Inside 50s52.1

4.0Contested Poss.123.7

1.9Goals12.4

Disposals

Joel8.2

STK379.3

Kicks

Joel5.3

STK220.4

Marks

Joel3.2

STK100.9

Tackles

Joel1.7

STK50.0

Clearances

Joel0.3

STK34.4

Inside 50s

Joel1.1

STK52.1

Contested Poss.

Joel4.0

STK123.7

Goals

Joel1.9

STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Marks

100.9per game · league avg 93.0

#6 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Docklands3.3(9)+0.1

Everywhere else3.2(67)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)4.0(1)+0.8

Dry games3.2(75)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.