AFL
PProjectPunt
Marcus Windhager
Marcus Windhager
St Kilda · @ NOR
1.5 FFO U
Hit rate
28% (5/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.1
L5
1.0
L10
1.0
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1COLMar 082MELMar 151GWSMar 212BRIMar 281PORApr 120ADEApr 182WCEApr 261CARMay 022GCSMay 091RICMay 171FREMay 220HAWMay 281SYDJun 071GWSJun 142WBDJun 211ESSJul 051PORJul 110GEEJul 16?NORJul 261.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ NOR
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 15:15Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Marcus23.0
NOR340.7
Kicks
Marcus13.5
NOR197.6
Marks
Marcus4.4
NOR90.7
Tackles
Marcus3.0
NOR54.6
Clearances
Marcus2.8
NOR33.9
Inside 50s
Marcus3.4
NOR52.3
Contested poss.
Marcus6.8
NOR119.2
Goals
Marcus0.2
NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Frees For

20.8per game · league avg 19.0
#3 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands1.0(29)-0.4
Everywhere else1.4(27)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(2)-0.2
Dry games1.2(54)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.