AFL
PProjectPunt
Mattaes Phillipou
Mattaes Phillipou
St Kilda · @ NOR
0.5 FFO U
Hit rate
63% (10/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.9
L5
0.8
L10
1.1
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2COLMar 080MELMar 150GWSMar 212BRIMar 280PORApr 120ADEApr 182WCEApr 262CARMay 022GCSMay 090RICMay 171FREMay 221HAWMay 281SYDJun 071ESSJul 050PORJul 111GEEJul 16?NORJul 260.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ NOR
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 15:15Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Mattaes16.6
NOR340.7
Kicks
Mattaes7.3
NOR197.6
Marks
Mattaes3.6
NOR90.7
Tackles
Mattaes3.6
NOR54.6
Clearances
Mattaes2.2
NOR33.9
Inside 50s
Mattaes2.8
NOR52.3
Contested poss.
Mattaes6.1
NOR119.2
Goals
Mattaes0.6
NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Frees For

20.8per game · league avg 19.0
#3 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands0.8(16)+0.1
Everywhere else0.7(20)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)0.7(3)-0.1
Dry games0.7(33)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.