Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Mitch Owens

St Kilda · vs SYD

1.5 CLO —U —

Hit rate

27% (4/15)

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Avg

1.0

1.6

L10

1.1

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs SYD

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Mitchvs all playersStatSYD concedePer game

12.6Disposals365.6

6.6Kicks210.9

3.4Marks80.8

1.9Tackles54.6

1.0Clearances38.8

2.1Inside 50s55.2

6.7Contested Poss.139.3

1.2Goals11.6

Disposals

Mitch12.6

SYD365.6

Kicks

Mitch6.6

SYD210.9

Marks

Mitch3.4

SYD80.8

Tackles

Mitch1.9

SYD54.6

Clearances

Mitch1.0

SYD38.8

Inside 50s

Mitch2.1

SYD55.2

Contested Poss.

Mitch6.7

SYD139.3

Goals

Mitch1.2

SYD11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SYD concede · Clearances

38.8per game · league avg 35.7

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Clearances

At Docklands1.2(50)+0.2

Everywhere else1.1(37)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Clearances

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(5)-0.2

Dry games1.2(82)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.