Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Darcy Fort

Brisbane Lions · @ CAR

1.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

35% (6/17)

enter odds to compare

Avg

1.2

1.0

L10

1.1

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ CAR

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Darcyvs all playersStatCAR concedePer game

11.5Disposals363.6

7.0Kicks210.2

3.3Marks89.8

1.7Tackles59.8

3.1Clearances35.7

2.1Inside 50s52.9

7.1Contested Poss.127.7

0.4Goals12.8

Disposals

Darcy11.5

CAR363.6

Kicks

Darcy7.0

CAR210.2

Marks

Darcy3.3

CAR89.8

Tackles

Darcy1.7

CAR59.8

Clearances

Darcy3.1

CAR35.7

Inside 50s

Darcy2.1

CAR52.9

Contested Poss.

Darcy7.1

CAR127.7

Goals

Darcy0.4

CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Frees For

20.1per game · league avg 19.0

#6 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands1.5(6)+0.5

Everywhere else1.0(60)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(2)-0.1

Dry games1.1(64)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.