AFL
PProjectPunt
Hugo Garcia
Hugo Garcia
St Kilda · @ NOR
1.5 FFO U
Hit rate
33% (6/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.2
L5
1.8
L10
1.4
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2COLMar 080MELMar 152GWSMar 210BRIMar 282PORApr 120ADEApr 181WCEApr 261CARMay 021GCSMay 093RICMay 170FREMay 220HAWMay 281SYDJun 071GWSJun 140WBDJun 213ESSJul 054PORJul 111GEEJul 16?NORJul 261.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ NOR
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 15:15Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Hugo24.0
NOR340.7
Kicks
Hugo10.9
NOR197.6
Marks
Hugo2.6
NOR90.7
Tackles
Hugo5.2
NOR54.6
Clearances
Hugo6.2
NOR33.9
Inside 50s
Hugo3.8
NOR52.3
Contested poss.
Hugo9.9
NOR119.2
Goals
Hugo0.4
NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Frees For

20.8per game · league avg 19.0
#3 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands0.8(23)+0.1
Everywhere else0.7(20)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(3)+0.3
Dry games0.8(40)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.