Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Jaspa Fletcher

Brisbane Lions · @ CAR

7.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

44% (8/18)

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Avg

7.0

6.6

L10

7.2

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ CAR

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jaspavs all playersStatCAR concedePer game

18.7Disposals363.6

11.7Kicks210.2

5.0Marks89.8

1.7Tackles59.8

1.1Clearances35.7

1.9Inside 50s52.9

4.7Contested Poss.127.7

0.2Goals12.8

Disposals

Jaspa18.7

CAR363.6

Kicks

Jaspa11.7

CAR210.2

Marks

Jaspa5.0

CAR89.8

Tackles

Jaspa1.7

CAR59.8

Clearances

Jaspa1.1

CAR35.7

Inside 50s

Jaspa1.9

CAR52.9

Contested Poss.

Jaspa4.7

CAR127.7

Goals

Jaspa0.2

CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Handballs

153.4per game · league avg 155.5

#12 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands6.8(9)+0.2

Everywhere else6.5(77)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)7.0(2)+0.4

Dry games6.6(84)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.