AFL
PProjectPunt
Dan Butler
Dan Butler
St Kilda · @ NOR
3.5 TKO U
Hit rate
29% (2/7)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.1
L5
2.6
L10
3.1
High
7
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2BRIMar 287PORApr 120ADEApr 182WCEApr 263CARMay 023GWSJun 145WBDJun 21?NORJul 263.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ NOR
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 15:15Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Dan8.6
NOR340.7
Kicks
Dan5.6
NOR197.6
Marks
Dan1.4
NOR90.7
Tackles
Dan3.1
NOR54.6
Clearances
Dan0.4
NOR33.9
Inside 50s
Dan1.6
NOR52.3
Contested poss.
Dan3.3
NOR119.2
Goals
Dan0.6
NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Tackles

54.6per game · league avg 56.9
#13 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands2.9(20)-0.5
Everywhere else3.3(9)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)6.0(3)+3.3
Dry games2.7(26)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.